NFL: Game Theory and Money

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"Game Theory and Money" Week 2 Score Predictions Sep 13, 2018

Show notes

She told you the Vikings would win comfortably over the 49ers; she told you there would be tons of points scored in the Ravens-Bills game; she picked the correct winner in 13 of the 16 week 1 games in the NFL; and she got all 3 of her confidence picks correct. So what does Cynthia Frelund have in store for week 2? Join Cynthia and Matt "Money" Smith as we take you into the world of analytics to see what exactly will happen on the field this week. Predictions ahead!

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Week 1 Predictions Sep 06, 2018

Show notes

Matt "Money" Smith and analytics expert Cynthia Frelund go through her computer simulations to reveal who will win each week 1 matchup in the NFL to kick off the 2018 season.

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NBA Playoffs Edition: Stevens, Morey & Lacob May 16, 2018

Show notes

NFL Network Analytics Expert Cynthia Frelund sits down with Boston Celtics head coach Brad Stevens to talk about his use of analytics in coaching and his relationship with Bill Belichick and the Patriots (1:00). Also, from her visit to the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston, Cynthia speaks with Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey about James Harden's NFL comparison (16:25) and Warriors Assistant GM Kirk Lacob about the defining characteristics of the 2018 Golden State Warriors squad (25:31).

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WNBA Legend Sue Bird, Top Prospect Talk, Under the Radar Returns Apr 12, 2018

Show notes

Cynthia Frelund and Matt “Money” Smith discuss the top prospects in the upcoming 2018 NFL Draft, including Penn State Running Back Saquon Barkley (5:10). Cynthia Frelund breaks down why she feels Florida State’s Derwin James is the best safety in the draft (10:40) and what his best landing spot is. Then, they deliberate over which teams can bounce back next season with some under the radar returns. Cynthia also talks about which untraditional stats she would like to see used on a larger scale nationally (27:40). Plus, Cynthia interviews WNBA Legend Sue Bird (32:05) from the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference.

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Brad Stevens, Daryl Morey & Kirk Lacob Mar 29, 2018

Show notes

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith sit down to discuss the biggest free agency moves thus far, highlighting the Odell Beckham Jr. trade rumors, as well as the analytics angle on the Rams' newly bolstered defense and Alex Smith's potential impact on the Redskins' offensive stats (2:43). Then, Cynthia talks with Celtics head coach Brad Stevens about his use of analytics in coaching (24:44) and his relationship with Bill Belichick and the Patriots (35:31). Plus, from her visit to the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston, Cynthia speaks with Rockets GM Daryl Morey about James Harden's NFL comparison (46:52) and Warriors Assistant GM Kirk Lacob about the defining characteristics of the 2018 squad (52:20).

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Free Agency, A-Rod, Chris Cooley & Chad Pennington Mar 15, 2018

Show notes

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith sit down to discuss the latest free agency news, highlighting the major moves at the QB position: Cousins to the Vikings, Keenum to the Broncos and Tyrod Taylor to the Browns (10:11). Also, Cynthia reveals the two teams she believes have given themselves the best chance to improve based on her models (17:03), as well as some head scratching free agency moves made by the Dolphins and the Giants. Then, Cynthia sits down with Alex Rodriguez to discuss the role analytics played in his career and he gets candid about his 2014 suspension (28:40). Plus, at the 2018 NFL Scouting Combine, Cynthia spoke with former Redskins tight end Chris Cooley (44:05) and former Jets & Dolphins QB Chad Pennington (1:01:30).

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2018 NFL Scouting Combine Special Mar 01, 2018

Show notes

The Game Theory and Money podcast is live from Indianapolis for the 2018 NFL Scouting Combine! Listen to this extra-long episode to hear interviews with New York Jets head coach Todd Bowles (22:00), Atlanta Falcons GM Thomas Dimitroff (33:00), and former Philadelphia Eagles RB Brian Westbrook (47:00).

Also, Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith discuss...

How do NFL front offices look at the combine?
How does Cynthia build her predictive model for college prospects?
Is there any reason for elite QB prospects to throw at the combine?
How do the elite QB prospects (Darnold, Rosen, Jackson, Mayfield, Allen) compare to one another?
Which drills are the best for determining future success for running backs?
How has the running back position has changed over the last few years?
The power of butts and how it relates to explosiveness
How height affects the meaning of metrics for WRs and CBs, and how short WRs find ways to succeed in the NFL
The most important metrics in scouting pass-rushers.

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Offseason Preview: Free Agent QBs Feb 22, 2018

Show notes

Where should Kirk Cousins sign? Which team is the best fit for him? Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith do a deep-dive into this free agent class of QBs to find the best fits for Cousins and Tyrod Taylor, and maybe find new starting QBs for the Minnesota Vikings and Cleveland Browns in the process. Also, Cynthia interviews Beth Mowins from the Super Bowl!

Where should Kirk Cousins sign? (8:00)
Where will Kirk Cousins sign? (14:00)
Which team is the best fit for Tyrod Taylor? (24:30)
Will Nick Foles be traded? (33:00)
Who is the second best free agent QB? (34:00)
Who will be the Vikings' QB in 2018? (39:00)
Cynthia Frelund interviews Beth Mowins (40:00)

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Super Bowl LII Recap with Eagles HC Doug Pederson Feb 08, 2018

Show notes

Fresh off winning the Super Bowl, Philadelphia Eagles head coach Doug Pederson joined the podcast to talk about how analytics plays a part in his decision-making during a game. Also, Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith recap the biggest plays of Super Bowl LII and make bold predictions for next NFL season.

Super Bowl LII Recap (0:30)
Who called the "Philly Special"? (12:30)
Nick Foles' impressive performance (17:30)
Interview with Eagles HC Doug Pederson (23:00)
Bold predictions for 2018 (33:30)

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Eagles vs. Patriots: Who is going to win Super Bowl LII? Feb 01, 2018

Show notes

Cynthia Frelund and Matt "Money" Smith are in Minnesota for Super Bowl LII between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots! In addition to previewing the game using Cynthia's predictive analytics, the crew sat down with Mike Daniels and Jalen Ramsey to get a look at the game from their perspectives.

Which team is going to win Super Bowl LII? (2:00)
How can the Eagles' pass rush effect Tom Brady? (4:00)
How Nick Foles can ride run-pass-option plays to success vs. the Patriots (13:00)
The impact of penalties in Super Bowl LII (22:00)
Interview with Packers DT Mike Daniels (25:00)
Interview with Jaguars CB Jalen Ramsey (45:00)

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