Establish The Run Fantasy Football

Latest Episodes:

Building a Billion Dollar Fantasy Business: One-on-One with Underdog Founder Jeremy Levine (Episode 587) Jul 20, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan meets up with Underdog Fantasy founder Jeremy Levine to discuss the current state of the growing company, what the future looks like, and more.

In this episode, we discuss:

Everything you need to know about Underdog Fantasy in 2023

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

(1:21) - Was the best ball boom expected?
(5:00) - Are we still in the early stages of the boom?
(7:55) - Tools and automation on Underdog drafts
(10:40) - The future of Underdog
(16:09) - Jeremy’s take on the sports betting industry
(20:16) - The restrictions on innovation from taxes
(23:15) - Limiting on sportsbooks
(26:02) - When can we expect the Underdog Sportsbook?
(28:30) - Underdog overseas
(29:04) - Hindsight analysis on lockdown markets
(32:54) - Underdog credits and rewards programs
(33:41) - Hosting home leagues on Underdog
(34:15) - Algorithms for determining draft orders
(36:11) - Jeremy’s next business venture?

WE CAN HELP: Tired of attention-seeking hot takes? Get the highest-quality analysis in fantasy football in your inbox, FREE. Join our email list today and we’ll send you a FREE PDF copy of our 10 Late-Round RB Targets for 2023: https://bit.ly/establishtherun

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

DFS OPTIMIZER: We have launched a new tools company called THE SOLVER. THE SOLVER will not have any content - just the software we think fantasy players need to win. Check it out: https://thesolver.com/?ref=etr

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Which RBs in the Dead Zone to Draft, and Which RBs to Avoid (Episode 586 with Adam Levitan, Mike Leone, Jack Miller) Jul 18, 2023

Show notes

The devaluation of RBs from the fantasy football market is creating mixed signals in Rounds 3-6, formerly known as the "Dead Zone." How should we handle?

Show Notes

In this episode, we discuss:

How the Dead Zone is defined
Characteristics of Dead Zone backs
RBs in Rounds 3-6 to target
RBs in Rounds 3-6 to avoid
More

Timestamps:

2:02 - Defining “The Dead Zone”
6:11 - Rhamondre Stevenson
9:46 - Breece Hall
10:59 - Jahmyr Gibbs
13:02 - Najee Harris
15:58 - Travis Etienne
20:02 - Aaron Jones
22:26 - Joe Mixon
26:47 - Kenneth Walker
28:53 - J.K. Dobbins
30:54 - Alexander Mattison
35:20 - Cam Akers
37:48 - Miles Sanders
40:10 - Dameon Pierce
41:41 - Rachaad White
42:54 - David Montgomery

WE CAN HELP: Tired of attention-seeking hot takes? Get the highest-quality analysis in fantasy football in your inbox, FREE. Join our email list today and we’ll send you a FREE copy of our Best Ball Guide covering the 5 Biggest Mistakes To Avoid While Drafting: https://bit.ly/establishtherun

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Levitan's Solo Pod: World Series of Poker Report, 72-Hour Fast, ETR Updates, Your Listener Questions Jul 16, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan pops on for a rare offseason edition of the Solo Pod. He discusses some notable events from his offseason and takes your perverted listener questions.

Show Notes

In this episode, we discuss:

The 72-hour water fast
Nosebleed stakes tennis bets
ETR Business Updates
Taint play
More

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

How Bookmakers Should Use Sharp Action + Helping Teams Win With Analytics: One-on-One with Ted Knutson Jul 13, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan sits down with former professional bettor and Pinnacle bookmaker Ted Knutson.

Show Notes

In this episode, we discuss:

How Ted booked sharp action
Using data to help soccer and NFL teams
How bad are coaches at analytics?

Lots more

Timestamps:

1:12 - Ted’s Background in Sports Betting
4:54 - Moving From Betting to Pinnacle
8:48 - How Complex Are The Derivatives
11:58 - What Sportsbooks Think About Limits
16:11 - How Books Use Sharp Action
21:58 - Pinnacle’s Perspective on Prop Betting
24:29 - Top Down Betting vs. Bottom Up Betting
26:20 - Why Ted Left Pinnacle for Statsbomb
30:23 - How Statsbomb collects Unique Data
34:31 - Where Are NFL Teams Bad At Analytics?
38:49 - How Statsbomb Helps Soccer Teams

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Market Monday: Is Gabe Davis Good + How to Handle 10th/11th-Round Wide Receivers (Episode 583) Jul 10, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan checks the pulse of the best ball market with his latest Market Monday pod. He shares his insight on why certain players are trending upward or downward in ADP.

In this episode, we discuss:

Can we trust Gabe Davis?
Year 3 outlook for Nico Collins
Is Romeo Doubs any good?
The un-fun click of JuJu Smith-Schuster
Any reason to worry about Breece?

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

(1:24) - Gabe Davis

(3:38) - Nico Collins

(4:58) - Romeo Doubs

(6:12) - JuJu Smith-Schuster

(7:45) - Breece Hall

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Man (Silva) vs. Machine (Leone) Rankings Debate Part 3: Kittle, Conner, Kamara, Tua, & More (Episode 582) Jul 10, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan is joined by Evan Silva (Man) and Mike Leone (Machine) to talk through some glaring discrepancies and differences between Silva's Top 150 and ETR's projections. They share their rationale for their respective rankings of polarizing players.

In this episode, we discuss:

George Kittle's 2023 outlook
Hard to trust James Conner?
Making sense of the Saints' backfield
Deshaun Watson bounce back?
RBs with contingent value

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

(2:06) - George Kittle

(5:24) - James Conner

(7:28) - New Orleans Saints backfield

(12:30) - Deshaun Watson & Tua Tagovailoa

(15:31) - Backup RB situations

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Man (Silva) vs. Machine (Leone) Rankings Debate Part 2: Mattison, Hockenson, Lockett, & More (Episode 581) Jul 06, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan is joined by Evan Silva (Man) and Mike Leone (Machine) to debate noticeable rankings discrepancies between Silva's Top 150 rankings and ETR's projections.

In this episode, we discuss:

What to expect from Minnesota's backfield
Can D.J. Moore produce with Justin Fields?
Is this Jerry Jeudy's year?
The Kellen Moore effect in L.A.
JSN a threat to Lockett or Metcalf?

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

(3:22) - Alexander Mattison & Ty Chandler

(9:06) - D.J. Moore

(13:36) - Rhamondre Stevenson

(20:35) - Jerry Jeudy

(23:21) - Mike Williams

(25:44) - Rachaad White

(28:25) - Seahawks WRs

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Man (Silva) vs. Machine (Leone) Rankings Debate Part 1: Kelce, Pickens, Pitts, & More (Episode 580) Jul 05, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan plays the role of mediator between Man (Evan Silva) and Machine (Mike Leone) as they debate player outlooks and rankings for the 2023 fantasy football season.

In this episode, we discuss:

Finally time for a Kelce decline?
Second-year WRs Watson & Pickens
Will Kyle Pitts finally emerge?
Jordan Addison and Quentin Johnston Year 1 expectations

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

(4:19) - Travis Kelce

(8:52) - Christian Watson

(12:33) - George Pickens

(16:10) - Kyle Pitts

(21:02) - Jahan Dotson

(24:47) - Mark Andrews

(26:43) - Jordan Addison & Quentin Johnston

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

Market Monday: A Battle Brewing In Buffalo, DeVante Parker Fake News, & THE Mid-Round Tight End To Draft (Episode 579) Jul 03, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan recaps the past week in the best ball streets and provides context for the latest ADP movement from across the industry.

In this episode, we discuss:

Buffalo power back battle
DeVante Parker's new contract
Hockenson in line for huge season?
Expectations for Anthony Richardson

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

(1:25) - Damien Harris vs. Latavius Murray

(3:52) - Tim Patrick

(5:47) - DeVante Parker

(7:32) - T.J. Hockenson

(9:11) - Anthony Richardson

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

More Plays = More Fantasy Points: NFL Pace Preview With Pat Thorman (Episode 578) Jun 29, 2023

Show notes

Adam Levitan and Evan Silva welcome Pat Thorman to the show to discuss play volume, pace, and personnel changes for the upcoming 2023-24 NFL season. Which teams will play faster and slower than last year?

In this episode, we discuss:

Everything you need to know from a pace perspective for the 2023 fantasy football season

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

(3:01) - Baltimore Ravens
(7:13) - Cleveland Browns
(10:15) - Los Angeles Chargers
(13:42) - New England Patriots
(18:40) - Carolina Panthers
(21:33) - Philadelphia Eagles
(25:05) - Minnesota Vikings
(28:46) - Dallas Cowboys
(33:00) - Arizona Cardinals
(34:05) - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(36:51) - New Orleans Saints
(39:56) - Green Bay Packers
(44:08) - Atlanta Falcons

Want ETR on your team this season?

Our 2023 DRAFT KIT has you covered with:

Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting
Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format
Sleepers and Busts
Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro)
And tons more!

All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

$100 BONUS: Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code “ETR” for a first deposit match up to $100.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

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