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    Education

    Thinking in Time

    How to improve the quality of decision-making in very stressful, novel, ambiguous, dynamic, time-pressured situations where potential for loss of life or limb exists.

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    Latest Episodes:
    Episode 14: Selflessness & Giving Feb 06, 2019
    Show notes

    What Is Your Life’s Blueprint?

    Six months before he was assassinated, King spoke to a group of students at Barratt Junior High School in Philadelphia on October 26, 1967.

    I want to ask you a question, and that is: What is your life’s blueprint?

    Whenever a building is constructed, you usually have an architect who draws a blueprint, and that blueprint serves as the pattern, as the guide, and a building is not well erected without a good, solid blueprint.

    Now each of you is in the process of building the structure of your lives, and the question is whether you have a proper, a solid and a sound blueprint.

    I want to suggest some of the things that should begin your life’s blueprint. Number one in your life’s blueprint, should be a deep belief in your own dignity, your worth and your own somebodiness. Don’t allow anybody to make you fell that you’re nobody. Always feel that you count. Always feel that you have worth, and always feel that your life has ultimate significance.

    Secondly, in your life’s blueprint you must have as the basic principle the determination to achieve excellence in your various fields of endeavor. You’re going to be deciding as the days, as the years unfold what you will do in life — what your life’s work will be. Set out to do it well.

    And I say to you, my young friends, doors are opening to you–doors of opportunities that were not open to your mothers and your fathers — and the great challenge facing you is to be ready to face these doors as they open.

    Ralph Waldo Emerson, the great essayist, said in a lecture in 1871, “If a man can write a better book or preach a better sermon or make a better mousetrap than his neighbor, even if he builds his house in the woods, the world will make a beaten path to his door.”

    This hasn’t always been true — but it will become increasingly true, and so I would urge you to study hard, to burn the midnight oil; I would say to you, don’t drop out of school. I understand all the sociological reasons, but I urge you that in spite of your economic plight, in spite of the situation that you’re forced to live in — stay in school.

    And when you discover what you will be in your life, set out to do it as if God Almighty called you at this particular moment in history to do it. don’t just set out to do a good job. Set out to do such a good job that the living, the dead or the unborn couldn’t do it any better.

    If it falls your lot to be a street sweeper, sweep streets like Michelangelo painted pictures, sweep streets like Beethoven composed music, sweep streets like Leontyne Price sings before the Metropolitan Opera. Sweep streets like Shakespeare wrote poetry. Sweep streets so well that all the hosts of heaven and earth will have to pause and say: Here lived a great street sweeper who swept his job well. If you can’t be a pine at the top of the hill, be a shrub in the valley. Be be the best little shrub on the side of the hill.

    Be a bush if you can’t be a tree. If you can’t be a highway, just be a trail. If you can’t be a sun, be a star. For it isn’t by size that you win or fail. Be the best of whatever you are.

    — From the estate of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr.


    Episode 13: Fixed versus Growth Mindset Nov 29, 2018
    Show notes

    Grow Your Mindset
    Which mindset do you have (fixed or growth)? Answer these questions about intelligence. Read each statement and decide whether you mostly agree with it or disagree with it.
    1. Your intelligence is something very basic about you that you can't change very much.
    2. You can learn new things, but you can't really change how intelligent you are.
    3. No matter how much intelligence you have, you can always change it quite a bit.
    4. You can always substantially change how intelligent you are.
    Now, look at these statements about personality and character and decide whether you mostly agree or mostly disagree with each one.
    1. You are a certain kind of person, and there is not much that can be done to really change that.
    2. No matter what kind of person you are, you can always change substantially.
    3. You can do things differently, but the important parts of who you are can't really be changed.
    4. You can always change basic things about the kind of person you are.


    Episode 12: Comfortability/Homeostasis Oct 13, 2018
    Show notes

    Is your training providing value commensurate with its effort and expense? Challenge homeostasis/comfortability to not just reach your potential but to build it, to make things possible that were not possible before. 50-hours to basic competency.


    Episode 10: 24/7 Situational Awareness Aug 15, 2018
    Show notes

    www.CP-Journal.com

    www.Emergence.com


    Episode 9: District Combatives System Introduction Jul 27, 2018
    Show notes

    Enough with what others get wrong or don't do. Here is what we do and why we do it. This is a broad overview.

    Functional Movement Screen

    Postural Assessment

    Performance Testing

    Knowledge Baseline

    Tacit -v- Explicit Knowledge

    Dysfunction -v- Compensation

    Playful Reasoning


    Episode 8: Grand Strategy Jul 19, 2018
    Show notes

    Books:

    Military Strategy, John M. Collins

    The Sources of Military Doctrine, Barry Posen


    Episode 6: So you think you're an expert? Jul 05, 2018
    Show notes

    In this episode, we further explore what defines an expert, how to acquire expertise, and the relationship of Boyd's orientation, Robert Greene's Life's Task ("The first move toward mastery is always inward--learning who you really are and reconnecting with that innate force."), and answering the question, Who you are?


    Episode 5: General Discussion, Q & A, and more... Jul 04, 2018
    Show notes

    Discussion on the altercation between individual and law enforcement officer. Remember, viewing the video, what is visible in the video and excluding all else, what do you observe?

    Video

    Expertise Discussion

    Deliberate practice involves two kinds of learning: improving the skills you already have and extending the reach and range of your skills.

    "How can you tell when you're dealing with a genuine expert? Real expertise must pass three tests. First, it must lead to performance that is consistently superior to that of the expert's peers. Second, real expertise produces concrete results. Brain surgeons, for example, not only must be skillful with their scalpels but also must have successful outcomes with their patients. A chess player must be able to win matches in tournaments. Finally, true expertise can be replicated and measured in the lab. As the British scientist Lod Kelvin stated, "If you can not measure it, you can not improve it."

    Things to Look Out for When Judging Expertise

    Individual accounts of expertise are often unreliable.

    Anecdotes, selective recall, and one-off events all can present insufficient, often misleading, examples of expertise. There is a huge body of literature on false memories, self-serving biases, and recollections altered as a result of current beliefs or the passage of time. Reporting is not the same as research.

    Many people are wrongly believed to possess expertise.

    Bear in mind that true expertise is demonstrated by measurable, consistently superior performance. Some supposed experts are superior only when it comes to explaining why they made errors. After the 1976 Judgment of Paris, for example, when California wines bested French wines in a blind tasting, the French wine "experts" argued that the results were an aberration and that the California res in particular would never age as well as the famous French reds. (In 2006, the tasting of the reds was reenacted, and California came out on top again.) Had it not been for the objective results from the blind tastings, the French wine experts may never have been convinced of the quality of the American wines.

    Intuition can lead you down the garden path.

    The idea that you can improve your performance by relaxing and "just trusting your gut" is popular. While it may be true that intuition is valuable in routine or familiar situations, informed intuition is the result of deliberate practice. You cannot consistently improve your ability to make decisions (or your intuition) without considerable practice, reflection, and analysis.

    You don't need a different putter.

    Many managers hope that they will suddenly improve performance by adopting new and better methods--just as golf players may think they can lower their scores with a new and better club. But changing to a different putter may increase the variability of a golfer's shot and thus hinder his or her ability to play well. In reality, the key to improving expertise is consistency and carefully controlled efforts.

    Expertise is not captured by knowledge management systems.

    Knowledge management systems rarely, if ever, deal with what psychologists call knowledge. They are repositories of images, documents, and routines: external data that people can view and interpret as they try to solve a problem or make a decision. There are no shortcuts to gaining true expertise.

    How to Practice Deliberately

    To people who have never reached a national or international level of competition, it may appear that excellence is simply the result of practicing daily for years or even decades. However, living in a cave does not make you a geologist. Not all practice makes perfect. You need a particular kind of practice--deliberate practice--to develop expertise. When most people practice, they focus on the things they already know how to do. Deliberate practice is different. It entails considerable, specific, and sustained efforts to do something you can't do well--or even at all. Research across all domains shows that it is only by working at what you can't do that you turn into the expert you want to become.

    To illustrate this point, let’s imagine you are learning to play golf for the first time. In the early phases, you try to understand the basic strokes and focus on avoiding gross mistakes (like driving the ball into another player). You practice on the putting green, hit balls at a driving range, and play rounds with others who are most likely novices like you. In a surprisingly short time (perhaps 50 hours), you will develop better control and your game will improve. From then on, you will work on your skills by driving and putting more balls and engaging in more games, until your strokes become automatic: You’ll think less about each shot and play more from intuition. Your golf game now is a social outing, in which you occasionally concentrate on your shot. From this point on, additional time on the course will not substantially improve your performance, which may remain at the same level for decades.

    Why does this happen? You don’t improve because when you are playing a game, you get only a single chance to make a shot from any given location. You don’t get to figure out how you can correct mistakes. If you were allowed to take five to ten shots from the exact same location on the course, you would get more feedback on your technique and start to adjust your playing style to improve your control. In fact, professionals often take multiple shots from the same location when they train and when they check out a course before a tournament.

    This kind of deliberate practice can be adapted to developing business and leadership expertise. The classic example is the case method taught by many business schools, which presents students with real-life situations that require action. Because the eventual outcomes of those situations are known, the students can immediately judge the merits of their proposed solutions. In this way, they can practice making decisions ten to 20 times a week. War games serve a similar training function at military academies. Officers can analyze the trainees’ responses in simulated combat and provide an instant evaluation. Such mock military operations sharpen leadership skills with deliberate practice that lets trainees explore uncharted areas.

    Let’s take a closer look at how deliberate practice might work for leadership. You often hear that a key element of leadership and management is charisma, which is true. Being a leader frequently requires standing in front of your employees, your peers, or your board of directors and attempting to convince them of one thing or another, especially in times of crisis. A surprising number of executives believe that charisma is innate and cannot be learned. Yet if they were acting in a play with the help of a director and a coach, most of them would be able to come across as considerably more charismatic, especially over time. In fact, working with a leading drama school, we have developed a set of acting exercises for managers and leaders that are designed to increase their powers of charm and persuasion. Executives who do these exercises have shown remarkable improvement. So charisma can be learned through deliberate practice. Bear in mind that even Winston Churchill, one of the most charismatic figures of the twentieth century, practiced his oratory style in front of a mirror.

    Genuine experts not only practice deliberately but also think deliberately. The golfer Ben Hogan once explained, “While I am practicing I am also trying to develop my powers of concentration. I never just walk up and hit the ball.” Hogan would decide in advance where he wanted the ball to go and how to get it there. We actually track this kind of thought process in our research. We present expert performers with a scenario and ask them to think aloud as they work their way through it. Chess players, for example, will describe how they spend five to ten minutes exploring all the possibilities for their next move, thinking through the consequences of each and planning out the sequence of moves that might follow it. We’ve observed that when a course of action doesn’t work out as expected, the expert players will go back to their prior analysis to assess where they went wrong and how to avoid future errors. They continually work to eliminate their weaknesses.

    Deliberate practice involves two kinds of learning: improving the skills you already have and extending the reach and range of your skills. The enormous concentration required to undertake these twin tasks limits the amount of time you can spend doing them. The famous violinist Nathan Milstein wrote: “Practice as much as you feel you can accomplish with concentration. Once when I became concerned because others around me practiced all day long, I asked [my mentor] Professor Auer how many hours I should practice, and he said, ‘It really doesn’t matter how long. If you practice with your fingers, no amount is enough. If you practice with your head, two hours is plenty.’”

    Please take a moment to rate (5-stars, please) review (written reviews expose the podcast to a wider audience), subscribe (subscriptions are part of Apple's ranking algorithm which helps with expanding our audience), share (share the podcast with friends, family, and colleagues who seek self-improvement or professional development), engage (send your thoughts, questions, and feedback to Ben@DistrictCombatives.com). Thank you for your continued support!


    Episode 4: Going Mental: Mental Model Application Jun 25, 2018
    Show notes

    In this episode, we provide greater color on the practical application of mental models. In personal protection terms, how it can affect your ability to prevail in a violent encounter. Remember, mental models, are comprised of your Individual Experiences, Cultural Experiences, and Institutional/organizational experiences.

    We highlight a recent fight between two 14-year old girls in Brazil where one girl (or her mom, depending on where you source your information) brought a knife and used it to repeatedly stab and slash. This is a perfect example of mental models and getting inside your oppositions OODA loop. One girl was anticipating some type of fistfight; she came prepared for a fist fight; she entered into a fist fight. The other girl came prepared to prevail; she entered into a fist fight (showing the opposition what she anticipated); then she accessed and deployed a knife; she also came with her mother; her mother entered the encounter. The mental models of these two girls were in opposition. However, the girl armed with a knife and mother came better prepared.

    Video

    One of the best discussions on mental models I've heard can be found here:

    The Fog of War by Chris Hicks

    Fog of War slide deck

    Mental Models are incredibly important. We could easily spend several podcast episodes covering them. What is critical to understand is the importance of mental models not only as representations of how you perceive the world but also how others perceive the world. This is your initial access point to operating inside your opposition or teammates OODA loop.

    Immediate Action Combatives "Biting to Defend against Triangle Choke"

    Video

    As you can observe in the triangle choke video, mobility, specifically of the foot and ankle, hip and lumbar spine are requirements for both individuals. Given biting is not allowed in sport BJJ, we can safely presume the demonstration is directed to self-defense, which we can also safely presume if you find yourself in this position (either applying the choke or receiving the choke) you will be wearing shoes. Any shoe creates an external cage or brace to the foot and ankle significantly reducing ankle mobility and dexterity, in addition to impairing hip mobility. Next, the video literally shows the individual only attempting to use his jaw to "bite", no use of the hands, arms, or rest of his body. Clearly, this is bullshit, unless the individual is a quadriplegic. Since the individual has his left hand resting on his own left thigh, we know he is not a quadriplegic. Next, note how the position has to be perfectly applied, as verbally stated by Cecil AND how the opposition is only allowed to use his jaw when directed and then only after the leg is firmly clamped at or below the level of the jaw. Unfortunately, for the choker, your leg cannot teleport to this location and while it is moving into position, your opposition has ample time and space, as Cecil concedes, albeit reluctantly and hesitatingly, to bite. Of course, there are countless other issues with this particular example. Note, how there is no context in detailing how you arrive in a sport BJJ position. Let me ask you a question, how many street fight videos have you watched, either in person or on video, where someone pulls guard? Personally, I have not seen or watched a single fight where this takes place outside of sport or competition. And as we already know, in sport or competition biting is against the rules. What do rules create? Mental Models. What are we seeking to attack? The mental models of our opposition. Why does every sport fighter say their sport techniques will defeat any eye gouge, small joint manipulation, bite, etc. when the sport in which they compete makes each of these off-limits.

    USMC versus UFC

    Let's check out a group of professional UFC fighters taking on some Marines in combatives. Before we watch the video or even click the link, write down what you think will happen. Be as detailed as possible.

    The key concept to take away from this breakdown is that you can attack the mental model of your opposition, whose belief structure (mental models) may not apply to the situation at hand. What is key to comprehend and internalize is that you cannot just practice techniques and tasks, you must understand processes that can be applied to the environment that is going on. The environment is constantly changing and the only way to succeed, to prevail is if your rate of adaption is equal to or greater than the rate of change taking place around you. Your techniques become the baseline in which you leverage off of. What will make you great is an ability to perform the basics better than anyone else. And when you can do the basics incredibly well, when you need to adapt, when you need to change the adaption or the use of those basics, because you know them so well, you can keep principles and priorities in place. You won't lose the forest for the trees. You keep the principles in place but adapt the techniques in which they are applied.

    Winning in a Complex World, by Col. Jim Czarnik


    Episode 3: Mental Models & Orientation Jun 20, 2018
    Show notes

    Mental models are the stories we construct to understand how things work. They mirror the events or system they are modeling, but they capture only a limited aspect of those events or that system. We form mental models from the way we understand causes.

    The mental models of experts include more knowledge and also enable the experts to see more connections. These--knowledge and connections--are two defining features of complexity. The mental models of experts are more complex than of other people.

    infovsknowlvs.png

    Expertise gives rise to errors. With more experience, we learn more patterns.

    YOU CANNOT SEE WHAT YOU DO NOT KNOW

    skilled performance depends on the way we look and listen. it depends on what we can notice and what kinds of discriminations we can make.

    RPD.png

    Our mindsets frame the cues in front of us and the events that are unfolding so we can make sense of everything.

    Two conditions are necessary for reliable intuitions to develop.

    1. Situation must be reasonably predictable, and
    2. People must have opportunities to learn.

    Low predictability situations make it unlikely that people can develop expertise because it is so hard to identify reliable cues.

    Boyd's concept of Orientation is similar to Gary Klein's concept of Mental Models. Mental Models are comprised of you

    • Individual experiences
    • Cultural experiences
    • Institutional/Organizational experiences

    Boyd's Orientation includes

    • Cultural traditions
    • Analysis and Synthesis
    • Previous Experience
    • New Information
    • Genetic Heritage
    OODA.png

    Both Orientation and Mental Models inform our Values. Values, as you may recall from Episode One: What is Judgment? are one of three elements to judgment.

    1. Action Judgments (What is to be done?)
    2. Reality Judgments (What is going on?)
    3. Value Judgments (What difference does it make?)

    As you can now see, our value judgments are informed by who we are. If you cannot answer this question, your value judgments will be inconsistent; your observations will be inconsistent; and finally, your mental models will remain simplistic and lack the sophistication developed with the acquisition of expertise.

    To improve Performance we need to do two)things.:The down arrow is what we have to reduce, errors. The up arrow is what we have to increase, insights. Performance improvement depends on these two things.

    Insights shift us toward a new story, a new set of beliefs that are more accurate, more comprehensive and more useful. Which thereby sophisticates our mental models, sophistication and complexity are two defining characteristics of the mental models of experts.

    Our insights transform us in several ways. They change how we understand, act, see, feel, and desire. They change how we understand. They transform our thinking; our new story gives us a different viewpoint. They change how we act. In some cases insights transform our abilities as well as our understanding. Insights change our notions of what we can do. These shifts go beyond a richer story about how the world works. Insights transform how we see; we look for different things in keeping with our new story. Insights transform how we feel--what excites us or makes us nervous. Finally, insights change our desires; the new stories shift our goals, leading us to give up some ambitions and pursue others.

    "Insight is when it happens, everything that happens afterward is different." Hilary Mantel made the same observation in Wolf Hall: "Insight cannot be taken back. YOu cannot return to the moment you were in before."


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